Showing posts with label volume. Show all posts
Showing posts with label volume. Show all posts

Wednesday, 17 May 2017

Sales volumes hit four-year low, as regional transactions plummet by up to 26% in England

By Marc Shoffman

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Sales volumes declined across all regions of England at the start of the year, the latest official figures suggest.

Data for transactions in January – the latest month for which transactional data is available and revealed in the ONS and Land Registry House Price Index – show sales volumes down by up to a quarter across English regions.

The figures show that volumes fell by the most in London, down 26% year-on-year to 5,958, followed by the east of England and south-east which both saw 21% declines.

The north-east had the smallest drop, down just 8% on January 2016.

Overall, transactions fell 16.6% annually in January to 50,790 in England.

They were down 2% in Scotland to 6,239 and down 2.3% in Wales to 2,762.

Northern Ireland only provides quarterly data, but transactions were down 28.5% in the first three months of the year to 4,379.

Transactions across the UK were at 64,170 in January. This is down from 75,961 last year.

Of course this could all be clouded by last year’s Stamp Duty rush, but the numbers are also below a month before when sales volumes were at 82,351.

Even if you look further back to January 2015, the Land Registry recorded 71,703 transactions and 80,763 in January 2014.

You have to go back to January 2013 for when volumes were last lower for the month, at 52,550.

The data also shows that annual house price growth slowed to 4.1% in March, down from 5.6% in the year to February. Prices also fell 0.6% on a monthly basis to £215,848.

Commenting on the figures, Jonathan Hopper, managing director of Garrington Property Finders, said: “While the speed and severity of the fall in annual price growth – down to its lowest level for more than three years – will alarm some sellers, such national averages mask the wildly different conditions at opposite ends of the market.

“Properties in some regions continue to see double-digit price reductions, while at certain price points in the most in-demand areas, gazumping is back with a vengeance.

“Nevertheless the broader trend is undeniable. East Anglia’s gravity defying, double-digit rates of price inflation are a thing of the past and it has been forced to share its ‘fastest growing region’ crown with the east midlands.

“Even London finds itself in a position it is unaccustomed to – close to the bottom of the pile.

“The chronic shortage of supply is still propping up prices in many areas and mitigating the slowdown. But this snapshot of a slowing market – taken before the election announcement – confirms what many in the industry had feared. For the housing market, the snap election has come at just the wrong time – injecting an unwelcome dose of uncertainty into an already fragile market.


“Nevertheless the lull could be short-lived. If the election delivers a clear result that puts Brexit firmly back on track, the property market could receive a huge boost, freeing up more supply and with greater levels of clarity spurring discretionary buyers into action.”

http://www.propertyindustryeye.com/sales-volumes-hit-four-year-low-at-start-of-january-land-registry/

Tuesday, 7 June 2016

Number of interest-only mortgages falls sharply


The volume of interest-only mortgages has fallen significantly since 2012, according to the Council of Mortgage Lenders (CML).
Fresh data shows that there were in the region of 3.2m interest-only loans in 2012, when the CML started collecting data, but that figure has dropped to around 1.7m, with a further 500,000 loans being part-and-part.
Regulatory clampdown has made it more difficult for homebuyers to get interest-only home loans, otherwise deemed too risky for regular homebuyers, but generally still available to landlords, while lenders have been actively tackling the issue head-on by proactively contacting interest-only borrowers and exploring options where there may be difficulties in repaying the loan.
Many lenders also appear to have been steering borrowers away from interest-only when remortgaging comes around.
A significant proportion of the fall came from loans being paid off, which suggests that deliberate remortgaging played a large part.
The CML said that 29% of total redemptions were from loans due to mature from 2028.
James Tatch, analytics manager at CML, commented: “In some cases, the borrowers will now be mortgage-free, either trading down or paying off in full from savings or other sources. But where they took out a new mortgage on redemption, our research suggests that, in most cases, this was on a repayment basis, rather than a new interest-only loan to replace the old one.”
“Another trend we have seen is the overall profile of the remaining interest-only stock becoming progressively lower-risk each year, in terms of borrowers’ debt relative to property value,” he added. 
With targeted interest-only contact strategies now a permanent feature of lenders’ back-book management, “we see this positive story continuing, according to Tatch. But he warned that it is vital that those borrowers still with interest-only mortgages “engage with lenders” at each point of contact, to ensure that any “risks are identified and managed at the right stage”.