29 March 2019 • 10:43am
Its latest house price index found London prices slumped
3.8pc in the first quarter of the year – the fastest pace of decline
since 2009 and the seventh consecutive quarter in which prices have
declined in the capital. The average property price in London stands at
£455,594.
Nationally, prices were 0.7pc higher in March than in the same month last year, and a modest 0.3pc rise from February, pushing up the average UK house price to £213,102.
Meanwhile, England recorded its first annual price fall
since 2012, with prices in the first three months of the year down
0.7pc from the same period in 2018, driven by declines in the South
East.
Robert Gardner, Nationwide’s chief economist, said
London's drop was not entirely unexpected, given house prices in the
capital have been inflated for some time.
“Policy changes that have impacted the buy-to-let market in
recent years are also likely to have exerted more of a drag in London,
given that the private rental sector accounts for a larger proportion of
the housing stock in the capital than elsewhere in the country,” he
added
Guy
Gittins, managing director of Chestertons, one of London’s largest
estate agents, said the firm had experienced an “incredibly busy start
to the year, with a sharp increase in buyer registrations, viewings and
offers throughout the first quarter, which reflects pent-up demand and
suggests that prices are now at a level that buyers are comfortable
buying.
“I therefore see this drop as a temporary blip, and expect prices to recover once the market has more clarity on Brexit.”
Samuel
Tombs at Pantheon Macroeconomics said the steady level of mortgages
approved this year showed that demand had proven quite resilient despite
Brexit uncertainty.
“With the tight labour market suggesting that 3pc
year-on-year growth in wages is sustainable and mortgage rates likely to
rise only gradually ... we still expect year-over-year growth in house
prices to recover to about 2pc by the end of this year.
”Russell Galley, of rival Halifax, has said he expected UK
house prices to rise between 2pc to 4pc this year if a Brexit deal is
struck.
Stephanie McMahon, of agent Strutt & Parker, forecasts UK growth of 2.5pc this year.
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